MR. HARPER’S DEFICIT:
IT DIDN’T HAVE TO BE THIS
WAY!
Opinion -
Editorial by the Honourable Ralph Goodale, Liberal Member of
Parliament
for Wascana
Not
long ago, as Canadians were about to vote in the federal election, Prime
Minister Stephen Harper was emphatic about his Conservative government not
running a budgetary deficit.
Now,
barely a month later, he wants us to believe that he’s being driven
toward
unavoidable red ink by sudden international circumstances beyond his
control.
It’s
all the fault of a collapsing U.S. housing market, bank failures, a
global
credit crunch, and continuing turmoil in financial markets
world-wide.
That’s the Conservative spin.
So
now, with other major economies, the Canadian government has no choice but
to sell off capital assets, or cancel programs and services, or run a
federal deficit – or a combination of all three – if it’s going to
safeguard Canadian pensions, salvage jobs in the manufacturing, automotive
and forestry sectors, and kick-start economic growth.
But
wait a minute. This
Conservative story just doesn’t add up.
Yes,
the economic crisis that began in the United States is very real, and
it
will indeed inflict significant damage in Canada and around the world.
But
the fact that this country is not in a better position today to weather
that
storm is entirely Mr. Harper’s domestic responsibility.
The
best economic forecasters in the private sector and within government have
been warning successive Finance Ministers since at least 2003 about the
huge downside risks posed by the precarious American situation.
Previous Liberal governments took those warnings seriously.
Stephen Harper did not.
From
his Liberal predecessors, he inherited the most robust fiscal position in
all the G-8 group of world-leading economies, including an annual surplus
of more than $12 billion and projected financial flexibility of close to
$100 billion over the coming five years.
But
as soon as he came into office, and long before any U.S. crisis
materialized,
Mr. Harper began frittering all of that away.
His
debilitation
of Canada’s fiscal security was deliberate and home-grown.
He
increased federal government spending to an unprecedented level.
He eroded the federal tax base, without bolstering productivity or
improving disposable incomes. And
he eliminated the extra prudence and the contingency reserve that used to
be built into federal budget-making as “fiscal shock absorbers” to
protect against sudden nasty surprises.
You
always hope those surprises will never actually happen, but inevitably
they
do. Until Mr. Harper arrived
on the scene, Canada had the wherewithal to defend itself.
We
withstood the consequences of major international currency crises in
Mexico
and Asia, the SARS pandemic, mad-cow disease, and the fallout from 9-11,
while still cutting taxes, paying down debt, investing in health care,
education, innovation and infrastructure, and staying solidly in the black
at the same time.
But
no more. Mr. Harper has
squandered Canada’s fiscal capacity.
So
the first external crisis to come along on his watch results in a
deficit.
And that’s entirely his responsibility.
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